Welcome!

Mobile IoT Authors: Liz McMillan, Mehdi Daoudi, Carmen Gonzalez, Yeshim Deniz, Elizabeth White

Related Topics: Mobile IoT

Mobile IoT: Article

The 7 Biggest Wireless Surprises Coming in 2004

Who stands to gain the most?

Wireless is taking off in a big way, but some surprises await us. How do you predict the seven biggest surprises about to hit the wireless industry?

I spoke with two well-connected "ringers" who have a keen sense of the industry. I absorbed their combined input and pooled seven responses.

My Ringers
Alex Lightman is a wireless visionary heavily involved in supporting IPv6. He keeps his wearable computer from Charmed Technology (his product, his company) focused on the pulse and frequency of tomorrow's wireless realities.

Attorney Robert Rini is a telecommunications and technology partner at Manatt, Phelps & Phillips, LLP, Washington, DC. Mr. Rini represents wireless technology interests before Congress, the FCC, and other courts and government agencies. He is a member of the Federal Communications Bar Association.

Here are what they think will be the seven surprises (in no particular order):

1) Wi-Fi - Less, and More, Than Expected
Despite the Wi-Fi hoopla, proliferation will be too slow. "If you add up all the Wi-Fi that will be deployed in the United States [in 2004] it will be equivalent to one or two cellular base station areas," says Lightman.

With as much money as has been invested in Wi-Fi, in 2004 we will see that written down. However, Wi-Fi will remain popular where it is available. "Cellphones with Wi-Fi will do better than those [without]," predicts Lightman.

Despite slow growth, certain areas will be heavily populated with Wi-Fi. This will impact the industry in a few ways. "With fixed Wi-Fi, you will see roaming, enabled by IPv6," says Lightman. Where Wi-Fi is grossly populated, you will see that signals don't necessarily make good neighbors. "Wi-Fi [will fail] to live up to expectations because of all the interference between unlicensed users. There will be more congestion and customer dissatisfaction than we expect," says Rini.

2) Camera Phones Drive Unexpected Cultural Changes
Okay, so camera phone popularity in the U.S. is no longer a surprise. But the impact of camera phones on U.S. culture is yet to be felt.

Camera phones will be so commonplace that where we saw some PVC footage in the news and in the courts, we will constantly see newsworthy and litigation-worthy camera phone footage.

Journalistic accuracy will be challenged and enhanced as most every story can and probably will be caught with still and streaming digital images. Opportunity will create a rise in the number of lawsuits filed and won. This will affect liability and therefore insurance costs.

"Every kid in America will have a cellphone. We will have an explosion of victim documentation or attempted victim documentation. We'll see a rise of community policing [that will be] watching these phones. This will change lawsuits and the nature of evidence and proceedings," says Lightman.

3) Sensors Seize Myriad Application Opportunities
"The fastest growth will be in human-to-sensor or sensor-to-sensor communication. You will find people deploying sensors for all kinds of things - temperature, pressure, cameras, fire detection," says Lightman. Small and inconspicuous, sensors have been slipping into position in all sorts of industrial applications for years, such as acoustic emissions testing or electrochemical sensing of compounds and pollutants.

New and existing sensors will be resourced in more beneficial and cost-effective ways by aggregating data over the wireless (to wired) Internet. Useful analyses of compiled data will thrust sensor installs into high gear. Both the usefulness and types of data to be had will spawn sensor-enabled applications for all sorts of high (and low) priority needs.

4) The Wireless War
"Once the wireless stuff gets up, these soldiers will have their own cameras. We're going to see all kinds of transmissions from the soldiers in Iraq. That's going to further spur the growth of camera phones here," says Lightman.

We'll see it, but I doubt it will be uncut or non-selective material. Military technologies for acquiring and sharing the images via futuristically small devices attached to each soldier have existed for a few years.

Mark Our Words
I'd like to have introduced this with the cliché, "Mark my words," but obviously, I had help. Watch for these developments throughout the coming year. If I have erred, I expect some feedback. If I get so much as four out of seven right (of course I expect to get them all right) I'll want a turban (not a beanie), a robe, and a mountaintop address, where I shall wait posed in meditation, taking further questions as time permits.

5) The Wireless (Political) Platforms
During this election year, wireless will be an issue among presidential candidates. It will be discussed as a problem that needs a solution, not a solution to a problem. "For the first time, America's position in the wireless industry will become a political issue that will be discussed during the elections. It will be a major thing because it will start to be so obvious that we are behind not only Europe and Japan, but also Korea and China," says Lightman.

An even bigger surprise would be if any candidate comes up with a competent solution. Bigger still is would be said candidate getting elected and following through. (Of course, I predict that these surprises won't happen, which is unfortunate, but no surprise.)

6) Convergence, Ads, and Entertainment
The U.S. is a high-tech importer. Devices that are members of this mobile invasion will be capable of knowing who their owners are, where they are, and what their contacts and interests are. That will make these devices and you great targets for highly personalized advertising.

"Asian companies, particularly Korean companies, will be advantaged because they have more people using 3G per capita than any place on earth," says Lightman. "If you combine that with Samsung's home entertainment centers, you are going to find mobile phones being used as remote control devices for what is called ‘the 10-foot experience.' If you combine that with Microsoft's Media Center, you'll start to see this blurring of lines between two businesses that are starting to come together. Microsoft will make bigger advances into the mobile phone market. They've been trying for years but [this] year I think that remotes will give them an opportunity to get in there."

7) Fixed Wireless Returns
"The FCC is rebanding the MDS […] and ITFS frequencies […] to create contiguous capacity and to facilitate mobile wireless broadband applications. This is very good ‘beachfront' spectrum at 2.5GHz because it propagates well. Recent advances in technology help overcome line-of-sight restrictions that previously hampered efforts to develop a video business in competition to cable. This spectrum is highly coveted for mobile broadband applications. The FCC is expected to adopt new rules by late summer or early fall to facilitate the provision of mobile broadband services over the spectrum. This step by the FCC will trigger an enormous amount of investment and will afford consumers additional choices for receiving innovative new services. The company that stands to gain the most is Nextel," says Rini.

Note: Nextel is among the largest holders of MDS spectrum. Nextel's industry market is a large market, but push come to shove, no one is going to want to carry two cellphones. Given that for many at least one phone must be carried for the job that puts food on the table, which phone do you think will be kept, and which discarded? Can we say market intersection?

More Stories By David Geer

David Geer is a contributing writer to WBT, a journalist, and a computer technician. He graduated from Lake Erie College in 1993 with a BA in psychology and has worked in the computer industry and in the media since 1998.

Comments (0)

Share your thoughts on this story.

Add your comment
You must be signed in to add a comment. Sign-in | Register

In accordance with our Comment Policy, we encourage comments that are on topic, relevant and to-the-point. We will remove comments that include profanity, personal attacks, racial slurs, threats of violence, or other inappropriate material that violates our Terms and Conditions, and will block users who make repeated violations. We ask all readers to expect diversity of opinion and to treat one another with dignity and respect.


@ThingsExpo Stories
SYS-CON Events announced today that Grape Up will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct. 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Grape Up is a software company specializing in cloud native application development and professional services related to Cloud Foundry PaaS. With five expert teams that operate in various sectors of the market across the U.S. and Europe, Grape Up works with a variety of customers from emergi...
@ThingsExpo has been named the Most Influential ‘Smart Cities - IIoT' Account and @BigDataExpo has been named fourteenth by Right Relevance (RR), which provides curated information and intelligence on approximately 50,000 topics. In addition, Right Relevance provides an Insights offering that combines the above Topics and Influencers information with real time conversations to provide actionable intelligence with visualizations to enable decision making. The Insights service is applicable to eve...
DevOps is often described as a combination of technology and culture. Without both, DevOps isn't complete. However, applying the culture to outdated technology is a recipe for disaster; as response times grow and connections between teams are delayed by technology, the culture will die. A Nutanix Enterprise Cloud has many benefits that provide the needed base for a true DevOps paradigm.
Bert Loomis was a visionary. This general session will highlight how Bert Loomis and people like him inspire us to build great things with small inventions. In their general session at 19th Cloud Expo, Harold Hannon, Architect at IBM Bluemix, and Michael O'Neill, Strategic Business Development at Nvidia, discussed the accelerating pace of AI development and how IBM Cloud and NVIDIA are partnering to bring AI capabilities to "every day," on-demand. They also reviewed two "free infrastructure" pr...
The 20th International Cloud Expo has announced that its Call for Papers is open. Cloud Expo, to be held June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, brings together Cloud Computing, Big Data, Internet of Things, DevOps, Containers, Microservices and WebRTC to one location. With cloud computing driving a higher percentage of enterprise IT budgets every year, it becomes increasingly important to plant your flag in this fast-expanding business opportunity. Submit your speaking proposal ...
New competitors, disruptive technologies, and growing expectations are pushing every business to both adopt and deliver new digital services. This ‘Digital Transformation’ demands rapid delivery and continuous iteration of new competitive services via multiple channels, which in turn demands new service delivery techniques – including DevOps. In this power panel at @DevOpsSummit 20th Cloud Expo, moderated by DevOps Conference Co-Chair Andi Mann, panelists will examine how DevOps helps to meet th...
NHK, Japan Broadcasting, will feature the upcoming @ThingsExpo Silicon Valley in a special 'Internet of Things' and smart technology documentary that will be filmed on the expo floor between November 3 to 5, 2015, in Santa Clara. NHK is the sole public TV network in Japan equivalent to the BBC in the UK and the largest in Asia with many award-winning science and technology programs. Japanese TV is producing a documentary about IoT and Smart technology and will be covering @ThingsExpo Silicon Val...
Five years ago development was seen as a dead-end career, now it’s anything but – with an explosion in mobile and IoT initiatives increasing the demand for skilled engineers. But apart from having a ready supply of great coders, what constitutes true ‘DevOps Royalty’? It’ll be the ability to craft resilient architectures, supportability, security everywhere across the software lifecycle. In his keynote at @DevOpsSummit at 20th Cloud Expo, Jeffrey Scheaffer, GM and SVP, Continuous Delivery Busine...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Hitachi, the leading provider the Internet of Things and Digital Transformation, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Hitachi Data Systems, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hitachi, Ltd., offers an integrated portfolio of services and solutions that enable digital transformation through enhanced data management, governance, mobility and analytics. We help globa...
SYS-CON Events announced today that T-Mobile will exhibit at SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. As America's Un-carrier, T-Mobile US, Inc., is redefining the way consumers and businesses buy wireless services through leading product and service innovation. The Company's advanced nationwide 4G LTE network delivers outstanding wireless experiences to 67.4 million customers who are unwilling to compromise on ...
With major technology companies and startups seriously embracing IoT strategies, now is the perfect time to attend @ThingsExpo 2016 in New York. Learn what is going on, contribute to the discussions, and ensure that your enterprise is as "IoT-Ready" as it can be! Internet of @ThingsExpo, taking place June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, New York, is co-located with 20th Cloud Expo and will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry p...
NHK, Japan Broadcasting, will feature the upcoming @ThingsExpo Silicon Valley in a special 'Internet of Things' and smart technology documentary that will be filmed on the expo floor between November 3 to 5, 2015, in Santa Clara. NHK is the sole public TV network in Japan equivalent to the BBC in the UK and the largest in Asia with many award-winning science and technology programs. Japanese TV is producing a documentary about IoT and Smart technology and will be covering @ThingsExpo Silicon Val...
20th Cloud Expo, taking place June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud strategy.
SYS-CON Events announced today that SoftLayer, an IBM Company, has been named “Gold Sponsor” of SYS-CON's 18th Cloud Expo, which will take place on June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York, New York. SoftLayer, an IBM Company, provides cloud infrastructure as a service from a growing number of data centers and network points of presence around the world. SoftLayer’s customers range from Web startups to global enterprises.
With major technology companies and startups seriously embracing Cloud strategies, now is the perfect time to attend @CloudExpo | @ThingsExpo, June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY and October 31 - November 2, 2017, Santa Clara Convention Center, CA. Learn what is going on, contribute to the discussions, and ensure that your enterprise is on the right path to Digital Transformation.
Most technology leaders, contemporary and from the hardware era, are reshaping their businesses to do software in the hope of capturing value in IoT. Although IoT is relatively new in the market, it has already gone through many promotional terms such as IoE, IoX, SDX, Edge/Fog, Mist Compute, etc. Ultimately, irrespective of the name, it is about deriving value from independent software assets participating in an ecosystem as one comprehensive solution.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Hitachi Data Systems, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hitachi LTD., will exhibit at SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City. Hitachi Data Systems (HDS) will be featuring the Hitachi Content Platform (HCP) portfolio. This is the industry’s only offering that allows organizations to bring together object storage, file sync and share, cloud storage gateways, and sophisticated search an...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Hitachi, the leading provider the Internet of Things and Digital Transformation, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Hitachi Data Systems, a wholly owned subsidiary of Hitachi, Ltd., offers an integrated portfolio of services and solutions that enable digital transformation through enhanced data management, governance, mobility and analytics. We help globa...
SYS-CON Events announced today that CollabNet, a global leader in enterprise software development, release automation and DevOps solutions, will be a Bronze Sponsor of SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, taking place from June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. CollabNet offers a broad range of solutions with the mission of helping modern organizations deliver quality software at speed. The company’s latest innovation, the DevOps Lifecycle Manager (DLM), supports Value S...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Super Micro Computer, Inc., a global leader in compute, storage and networking technologies, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 20th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. Supermicro (NASDAQ: SMCI), the leading innovator in high-performance, high-efficiency server technology, is a premier provider of advanced server Building Block Solutions® for Data Center, Cloud Computing, Enterprise IT, Hadoop/...